"Wannan zagayen hauhawar farashin jan ƙarfe ya samu ci gaba daga ɓangaren macro, amma kuma yana da goyon bayan manyan abubuwa, amma daga mahangar fasaha yana ƙaruwa da sauri, wato, daidaitawar ta fi dacewa." Masana'antar da ke sama ta shaida wa manema labarai cewa a cikin dogon lokaci, ko bankunan saka hannun jari na ƙasashen waje ne ko cibiyoyin bincike ana sa ran ƙarancin kasuwar jan ƙarfe zai iya ɗaukar lokaci mai tsawo, wato,bayan daidaitawa ta yau da kullun, tsakiyar nauyin farashin jan ƙarfe na iya ci gaba da tashi a hankali, sai dai idan tushen ko manufofin Tarayyar Tarayya sun canza fiye da yadda ake tsammani.
Zhang Jianhui ya ce farashin jan ƙarfe ya fuskanci wani yanayi na siyarwa a farashin da ake da shi a yanzu, kuma akwai matsin lamba kan jigilar kayayyaki a farashi mai rahusa. A nan gaba, idan kayayyakin jan ƙarfe suka ragu, sabon tsarin rage darajar riba na Babban Bankin Tarayya zai fara, tare da ci gaba da ƙarfin tattalin arzikin cikin gida, farashin jan ƙarfe na iya samar da sabon zagayen ci gaba, wato, har yanzu akwai yuwuwar hauhawar zuwa wani sabon matsayi. Tabbas, a gefe guda, idan kayayyaki suka ci gaba da taruwa a mataki na gaba, kasuwar jan ƙarfe za ta haifar da koma baya a wannan fanni na farashi.
Ji Xianfei ya kuma yi imanin cewa za a daidaita farashin jan ƙarfe na ɗan gajeren lokaci, amma a matsakaici da dogon lokaci, har yanzu ana samun ƙarin tsare-tsare. Ya ce a matakin macro, ana sa ran tattalin arzikin Amurka zai inganta, kuma rage darajar kuɗin da Babban Bankin Tarayya ya rage a cikin shekara zai iya samar da kuɗi ga kasuwa. A matakin farko, ƙarancin wadatar ma'adanai na jan ƙarfe na iya ci gaba da "ƙara", yayin da akwai damar ingantawa a ɓangaren amfani, wanda zai sa kamfanoni masu tasowa su sayi kayan masarufi ba tare da wata matsala ba. A matakin ƙarshe, muna buƙatar mayar da hankali kan canjin rangwame a tsarin daidaita farashi, idan an rage rangwamen wuri sosai ko kuma aka mayar da shi ƙarin farashi, farashin jan ƙarfe shi ma za a tallafa masa.
Amma wasu masu sharhi suna ɗaukar ra'ayi mafi muni. Wang Yunfei ya yi imanin cewa zagayen farashin jan ƙarfe na yanzu ya ƙare, kuma babu wani ƙarfin da ke motsa shi a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci. "Tun daga tunanin da kasuwa ke tallafawa, har yanzu ana ci gaba da cika tsammanin buƙatar jan ƙarfe mai ƙarfi a ƙarƙashin tattalin arzikin ƙarancin carbon, kuma yana fuskantar raguwar buƙata sakamakon hauhawar farashin jan ƙarfe a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, da kuma abubuwan da ba su da kyau kamar rage buƙatar hannun jari da raguwar tattalin arziki ke haifarwa a matsakaici da dogon lokaci da kuma matsin lamba kan buƙata da canje-canje a yanayin ciniki na duniya ke haifarwa."
Jiang Lu yana sa ran cewa a cikin lokaci mai zuwa, farashin jan ƙarfe zai fi mayar da hankali ne kan girgizar ƙasa. A cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, akwai matsin lamba kan jan ƙarfen COMEX a cikin wata mai zuwa, wadatar da ake samu a cikin gida da buƙata ta yi ƙarfi don cimma rage darajar kayan, kuma raguwar farashin na iya raguwa. Bugu da ƙari, faɗuwar farashin jan ƙarfe zai fitar da buƙatar farashin jan ƙarfe, wanda zai samar da wani tallafi ga farashi. Yana sa ran cewa nan da ƙarshen watan Yuni, kewayon aiki na farashin jan ƙarfe shine yuan 78,000 zuwa 89,000/ton, matsakaicin farashin babban kwangilar ana sa ran zai zama yuan 82,500/ton, kuma ɓangaren da ke ƙasa zai iya la'akari da sake cikawa kusa da matsakaicin farashi. A matsakaici da dogon lokaci, ya yi imanin cewa za a jinkirta rage darajar riba ta Amurka, yayin da haɗarin tattalin arziki ke ci gaba da kasancewa, kuma farashin jan ƙarfe zai fuskanci wani matsin lamba.
Lokacin Saƙo: Mayu-30-2024